January 21, 2010

Is redistricting in the Philippines possible?

And by redistricting, I mean reapportionment as stated in Article VI, Section 5, Paragraph 4:
Within three years following the return of every census, the Congress shall make a reapportionment of legislative districts based on the standards provided in this section.

Just recently, Cavite (and I think Camarines Sur) were reapportioned, although by standards I don't know. Perhaps they followed the "minimum" guideline (in order for any grouping of LGUs to become a district, it must have a population of at least 250,000 and should be composed of a “contiguous, compact, and adjacent territory.”). However, this led into Cavite increasing its districts from three to seven! Now, the province has the most number of Congressmen, and it is also the most populous province.
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Cavite is an odd case, however. Cavite leapfrogged everybody to become the most populous province in the country, that's why they were stuck with three districts for much of the operation of the 1987 constitution. Among the provinces (LGUs) that were previously at the top (in order of 2007 population), Bulacan, Quezon City, Pangasinan and Laguna, only Laguna and Quezon City were stuck with 4 congressmen. In fact, Quezon City's 2nd district (most of the northern part of the city) may be the most populous district in the country.

So why not redistrict the entire country? But first we have to set the rules.
First, limit the number of congressmen. Let us peg it at 250 level. Now, the constitution mandates that 20% of Congressmen must be sectoral (party-list) representatives. So 80% of 250 is 200. Now, let's divide the population of the Philippines (88,542,548) with 200. We come up with 442,713 (almost twice as much as the current minimum) rounded to the nearest whole number. Next, we get the population of the provinces, cities not within a province, and every LGU that has a Congressional district on their own, and divide that by 442,713, with the quotient rounded to the nearest whole number. Then, we reset LGUs that have a Congressman by their won which are not provinces back to zero (this affects two cities -- Navotas and San Juan. Provinces are allowed to keep their one representative even if they are below the 250,000-population floor.

The results are (click here if you are too bored to scroll down):










































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































LGUTypePopulationNewNow +/-

Caviteprovince2,856,76567-1
Bulacanprovince2,826,9365
6

Quezon Cityhighly-urbanized city2,679,450642
Pangasinanprovince2,495,841660
Lagunaprovince2,473,530642
Cebuprovince2,439,005660
Negros Occidentalprovince2,370,26956-1
Rizalprovince2,284,046541
Batangasprovince2,245,869541
Pampangaprovince1,911,951440
Nueva Ecijaprovince1,853,853440
Iloiloprovince1,691,87845-1
Manilahighly-urbanized city1,660,71446-2
Quezonprovince1,646,510440
Camarines Surprovince1,533,30535-2
Caloocanhighly-urbanized city1,378,856321
Davao Cityhighly-urbanized city1,363,337330
Leyteprovince1,327,31335-2
Isabelaprovince1,275,25134-1
Maguindanaoprovince1,273,715321
Tarlacprovince1,243,449330
Negros Orientalprovince1,231,904330
Boholprovince1,230,110330
Albayprovince1,190,823330
Bukidnonprovince1,190,284330
Lanao del Surprovince1,138,544321
Cotabatoprovince1,121,974321
Cagayanprovince1,072,57123-1
Zamboanga del Surprovince914,278220
Zamboanga del Norteprovince907,23823-1
Suluprovince849,670220
Davao del Norteprovince847,440220
Davao del Surprovince822,406220
Cebu Cityhighly-urbanized city798,809220
Zamboanga Cityhighly-urbanized city774,407220
Masbateprovince768,93923-1
South Cotabatoprovince767,255220
Misamis Orientalprovince748,791220
Oriental Mindoroprovince735,769220
La Unionprovince720,972220
Sorsogonprovince709,673220
Capizprovince701,664220
Samarprovince695,149220
Palawanprovince682,152220
Sultan Kudaratprovince675,644220
Taguighighly-urbanized city670,309220
Bataanprovince662,15312-1
Compostela Valleyprovince637,36612-1
Ilocos Surprovince632,25512-1
Pasighighly-urbanized city617,301110
Agusan del Surprovince609,44712-1
Valenzuelahighly-urbanized city568,92812-1
Cagayan de Orohighly-urbanized city553,96612-1
Parañaquehighly-urbanized city552,66012-1
Northern Samarprovince549,75912-1
Ilocos Norteprovince547,28412-1
Zamboanga Sibugayprovince546,18612-1
Surigao del Surprovince541,34712-1
Lanao del Norteprovince538,28312-1
Las Piñashighly-urbanized city532,330110
Misamis Occidentalprovince531,68012-1
General Santoshighly-urbanized city529,542101
Antiqueprovince515,265110
Camarines Norteprovince513,78512-1
Makatihighly-urbanized city510,38312-1
Bacolodhighly-urbanized city499,497110
Basilanprovince496,505110
Aklanprovince495,122110
Zambalesprovince493,08512-1
Davao Orientalprovince486,10412-1
Saranganiprovince475,514110
Muntinlupahighly-urbanized city452,943110
Tawi-Tawiprovince450,346110
Marikinahighly-urbanized city424,61012-1
Occidental Mindoroprovince421,592110
Iloilo Cityhighly-urbanized city418,710110
Surigao del Norteprovince409,46812-1
Eastern Samarprovince405,114110
Pasayhighly-urbanized city403,064110
Nueva Vizcayaprovince397,837110
Southern Leyteprovince390,847110
Benguetprovince372,533110
Malabonhighly-urbanized city363,681110
Agusan del Norteprovince314,02712-1
Iliganhighly-urbanized city308,04601-1
Mandaluyonghighly-urbanized city305,576110
Baguiohighly-urbanized city301,926110
Lapu-Lapuhighly-urbanized city292,530110
Romblonprovince279,774110
Navotashighly-urbanized city245,34401-1
Catanduanesprovince232,757110
Abraprovince230,953110
Marinduqueprovince229,636110
Auroraprovince187,802110
Kalingaprovince182,326110
Ifugaoprovince180,711110
Quirinoprovince163,610110
Guimarasprovince151,238110
Biliranprovince150,031110
Mountain Provinceprovince148,661110
San Juanhighly-urbanized city125,33801-1
Dinagat Islandsprovince120,813110
Apayaoprovince103,633110
Siquijorprovince87,695110
Camiguinprovince81,293110
Batanesprovince15,974110
Totals
85,784,804205230-25

Advised pop/district442,713
Min. pop/district250,000
Sources: Wikipedia -- Primary LGUs in the Philippines, 15th Congress of the Philippines.
Numbers in pink = less than the advised population per district; numbers in red = less than the legal minimum population per district.

There are some irregularities. Since previous Congresses divided the country indiscriminately through the years, we have an extra five seats. But it's five only seats, compared to the upcoming Congress where there are 230 district Congressmen and God knows how many sectoral representatives will be there (the total number of Congressmen fluctuate with every Congress).

There's a caveat with this: exactly how are we going to re-divide the country every census? Note that this provision has NEVER been implemented. Never. Americans have this problem in redistricting, but since they already know how, the question is who. The Cavite redistricting was via a Congressional act, and Dasmarinas would have had its own anyway even if the redistricting did not push through, plus the fact that the second (Bacoor) and third districts (Imus) are wholly composed of municipalities. State governments are in charge of how to redistrict their own state: they either do it via their state legislatures (which are partisan) or via a "non-partisan" redistricting committee.

I am not questioning the wisdom of redistricting in Cavite, or whether it was legal, for I believe there is no easy way in determining this question. In fact, there might be no way to answer if this was even proper. Perhaps this national reapportionment must be done now, and perhaps we should devise ways on how to do this.

Next: Party-lists.

2 comments:

  1. Hello, please read an article in my former blog:
    http://ejdp.wordpress.com/2009/09/16/the-reapportionment-of-the-congressional-districts-of-the-philippines/

    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yeontura, it's nice to know there are some people who are into this. This issue is a very pressing matter and is always ignored. Nicely done.

    ReplyDelete

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