December 30, 2013

2013-14 PBA Philippine Cup team standings and magic numbers!

We're past midway the tournament, so the standings, and the magic numbers, are beginning to take shape. For details on what magic numbers are, see this.

First the twiddly bits: The text colored green are magic numbers. If that reaches "1", it clinches a playoff. If it reaches "0", it qualifies, and I'd replace it with "IN".
The text colored red are tragic numbers. If that reaches "0", it is eliminated, and I'd replace it with "OUT".
"QF+": Twice to beat in the quarterfinals; "QF3": Best of 3 quarterfinals; "QF-":  Twice to win in the quarterfinals
TeamWLPCTGBQF+QF3QF-
z-Ginebra113.846--INININ
z-Rain or Shine113.789--INININ
y-Petron104.7141OUTININ
y-Talk 'N Text86.5383OUTININ
y-San Mig77.5004OUTININ
Barako Bull59.3856OUTININ
GlobalPort59.3576OUTOUTIN
Alaska59.3576OUTOUT1
Meralco59.3576OUTOUT1
e-Air21311.2148OUTOUTOUT

 z-Clinched twice to beat, y-clinched best-of-three, x-clinched twice-to-win, e-eliminated

Tiebreakers:

  • GlobalPort vs. Meralco: GlobalPort 93, Meralco 89
  • Potential 4-way tie:
    • TeamPFPAGA
      Barako Bull3843631.058
      GlobalPort3733691.011
      Alaska5105180.985
      Meralco3313480.951

Seeding scenarios:

Notes on breaking ties:
  • The PBA will hold a playoff for ties involving the #2 and #8 seeds only. In all other cases, the tiebreaking system will be used.
  • The PBA uses goal average, not point differential, to break ties.
  • If goal average is equal, the next tiebreaker is overall goal average. 
  • Ginebra is sure to be the #1 seed even if Rain or Shine gets to be tied with them.
Now for the 4-way tie:
  • The Alaska-Barako Bull game involves both teams which will be tied if Alaska wins. An Alaska win will pull up their GA, and will pull down Barako Bull's. There's no tied game as a result in basketball, and even if there is, their GAs would still change depending on how points were scored. Generally, GAs favor low-scoring games.
  • GlobalPort and Meralco's GAs won't change.
  • Meralco will always figure in a playoff.
  • Playoff matchups in case of a 4-way tie:
    • Alaska wins by 22 or less:
      • If Alaska scores more than 45 points: Alaska vs. Meralco
        • Barako Bull will be #6 and GlobalPort will be #7
      • If Alaska scores 45 points or less: GlobalPort vs. Meralco 
        • Barako Bull will be #6 and Alaska will be #7
    • Alaska wins by between 23 to 26 points:
      • If Alaska scores 95 points or less: GlobalPort vs. Meralco
        • Alaska will be #6 and Barako Bull will be #7.
        • If Alaska wins with a score of 95-69, Barako Bull and GlobalPort shall have equal GA; however, Barako Bull wins the tiebreaker vs. GlobalPort.
      • If Alaska scores 96 points or more: Barako Bull vs. Meralco 
        • Alaska will be #6 and GlobalPort will be #7
    • Alaska wins by 27 or more: Barako Bull vs. Meralco
      • Alaska will be #6 and GlobalPort will be #7

 If Alaska and Talk 'N Text win:

  1. Ginebra
  2. Rain or Shine
  3. Petron
  4. Talk 'N Text
  5. San Mig


  6. TBD vs, Meralco playoff winner
  7. TBD vs. Meralco playoff loser (eliminated)
  8. Air21 (eliminated)

If Barako Bull and Talk 'N Text win:

  1. Ginebra
  2. Rain or Shine
  3. Petron
  4. Talk 'N Text
  5. San Mig
  6. Barako Bull
  7. GlobalPort
  8. Meralco
  9. Alaska (eliminated)
  10. Air21 (eliminated)

If Barako Bull and Ginebra win:

  1. Ginebra
  2. Rain or Shine
  3. Petron
  4. San Mig
  5. Talk 'N Text
  6. Barako Bull
  7. GlobalPort
  8. Meralco
  9. Alaska (eliminated)
  10. Air21 (eliminated)

If Alaska and Ginebra win:

  1. Ginebra
  2. Rain or Shine
  3. Petron
  4. San Mig
  5. Talk 'N Text


  6. TBD vs, Meralco playoff winner
  7. TBD vs. Meralco playoff loser (eliminated)
  8. Air21 (eliminated)

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